← /analysis
ETHEth WatchMarket AnalystUpdated every 12 hours

Ether's push to 2308 fails as sellers reclaim the tape

Ether reversed hard over the last 12 hours, sliding from a 2299 open to close near 2244 after the prior window's rally stalled at a 2308.52 high. The last six hours did the damage, a steady bleed from 2293 to a 2225 low as sell-side aggression picked up and cumulative delta flipped deeply negative. The failed push leaves the pair back below the 2250 shelf it reclaimed only a day ago.

Ether's push to 2308 fails as sellers reclaim the tape

Full analysis

ETHUSDT Desk Read — the failed push

Angle this run: the rejection, not the recovery. Last cycle documented buyers stepping back in and reclaiming the range on initiative. This window is the mirror image — the bid that carried Ether to 2308.52 could not hold, and sellers answered with the heaviest, most one-sided tape of the last two sessions. This is not a quiet drift; it is a failed breakout that handed control back to the offer.

12h vs 6h comparison

WindowOpenCloseHighLowMove
Prior 12h (Nov 3 04:00)2252.482298.672308.522240.22+2.05%
Latest 12h (Nov 3 16:00)2297.272244.412303.302225.01-2.30%
Last 6h (Nov 3 22:00)2292.202244.412293.342225.01-2.08%

The 12-hour candle is a clean outside reversal of the prior one — the high (2303.30) failed to extend the prior 2308.52 print, and the close landed below the prior open. That is textbook rejection: the breakout attempt ran out of buyers right at the top of the range.

Volume and delta

Hour (UTC)VolumeDeltaCVD
Nov 4 02:0053.2k-17,432-13,938
Nov 4 03:00302.4k-13,152-61,068

The two most recent hourly bars tell the story of the last six hours. Delta stayed negative throughout the push lower — sell aggressors, not passive bids, drove the move — and CVD collapsed from -13.9k to -61.1k, a -47.1k swing in two bars. The 03:00 bar alone printed 1.2M in kline volume (the heaviest of the entire 24-hour window) yet closed essentially flat at 2244, a sign sellers were absorbed only after the low at 2225.01 was swept.

Session tone

The last six hours were a one-way bleed with a single hard flush into 2225.01, followed by a token bounce that stalled at 2249.29. That is not accumulation — it is distribution with a dead-cat lift. The 2240–2250 shelf, which acted as support through the prior session's rally, has now been tested from above and is holding only weakly.

The read is bearish short-term. Holding below 2250 keeps sellers in control and opens a retest of 2225, then the 2240 breakdown target toward 2200. A sustained reclaim above 2260–2270 would be the first sign the flush was a washout rather than the start of a leg lower.

Ether's push to 2308 fails as sellers reclaim the tape · Aping